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May
28, 2002
Jesus of Siberia
Click for Source Article
Four
thousand feet up a mountain deep in the Siberian taiga, the middle-aged man
appears in a velvet crimson robe, long brown hair framing a beatific smile. He
sits down in a log cabin perched on the brow of the hill. It is a room with a
stunning view. The snowy Sayan mountains sparkle in the distance. The silver and
pink of the birch forests shimmer in the clear sunlight. Down to the right, the
pure blue water of Lake Tiberkul mesmerises. Behind the cabin, for much further
than the eye can see - a thousand kilometres - the Siberian wilderness
stretches, bereft of human habitation.
"It's all very complicated," he starts quietly. "But to keep things simple, yes,
I am Jesus Christ. That which was promised must come to pass. And it was
promised in Israel 2,000 years ago that I would return, that I would come back
to finish what was started. I am not God. And it is a mistake to see Jesus as
God. But I am the living word of God the Father. Everything that God wants to
say, he says through me."
Meet the Messiah of Siberia, Vissarion Christ - the Teacher, as he is known to
his thousands of disciples, who are convinced that he is the reincarnation of
Jesus of Nazareth, come back to earth to save the world.
"He radiates incredible love," sighs Hermann, 57, a Bavarian engineer who is now
selling his home in Germany to join the self-proclaimed messiah of the taiga. "I
met Vissarion last August. He told me we had to follow two laws. It was like an
electric shock, like bells ringing."
To find Vissarion, you fly 3,700km east from Moscow to the southern Siberian
town of Abakan, north of the Mongolian border, then drive for six hours along
rutted roads through a string of villages. Where the road ends in a
rollercoaster of craters, the bog begins, and you trudge knee-deep in mud and
ice for three hours before the final ascent to the "saviour", a steep hour's
climb up a mountain path.
To witness the lives of these New Age dropouts in the hamlets of Kuragino,
Imisskoye, Petropavlovka and Cheremshanka is to get an inkling of how things
must have been in 17th-century New England for the pilgrim fathers toiling away
at their new Jerusalem.
"Life is so hard here," says Denis, a 21-year-old Russian emigre who arrived
last week from Brisbane to see if Vissarion really was the answer to his
questions. "No doubt about it, mate," he affirms. "Definitely the Son of God."
To his critics in the established churches who accuse him of brainwashing and
embezzling his followers, Vissarion is a charlatan deluding the devotees of "a
destructive, totalitarian sect". More prosaically, he is Sergei Torop, a
41-year-old former traffic cop and factory worker from Krasnodar in southern
Russia, who moved to Siberia as a youth, experienced his awakening a decade ago,
and now leads one of the biggest and most remote religious communes on the
planet.
Combining new age eclecticism with medieval monasticism, the "Vissarionites",
clustered in around 30 rural settlements in southern Siberia, now number around
4,000. They are unquestioningly dedicated to their guru. They utter his name in
hushed tones. They decorate their homes, temples and workplaces with his image.
They reverentially swap tales of the Teacher's every act or word. They pore over
his four fat volumes of musings. His aphorisms are learned by rote and
regurgitated daily.
Vissarion - like all the followers of his "Church of the Last Testament", he
goes by his adopted first name only - is untroubled by this cult of personality
and its sinister resonance in Russian history. "It depends how a person uses my
image," he explains. "Man has to bow down to the Father. But it is a mystery and
the image enables a person to connect with me. The image can help in that sense,
strengthen his efforts."
Vissarion's commune is governed by arcane rituals, laws, symbols, prayers,
hymns, and a new calendar. A strict code of conduct is enforced: no vices are
permitted. Veganism is compulsory for all, though exceptions can be made for
infants and lactating mothers, who are allowed sour milk products (if they can
find them). There is no animal husbandry. Monetary exchange is banned within the
commune, and only reluctantly allowed with the outside world.
"We're not allowed to smoke, or swear, or drink," laughs Larissa, a glowing
28-year-old mother of three who arrived here from Moscow with her mother as an
18-year-old. "Everything is banned here. We're not allowed to do anything except
fall in love."
The devotees include Russian musicians, actresses, teachers, doctors, former Red
Army colonels, an ex-deputy railways minister of Belarus, as well as a growing
band of adherents from western Europe. They drink the sap of the birch trees
that they fell for housing, tools and furniture. They live off berries, nuts and
mushrooms gathered in the forest. They scratch potatoes, cabbage and Jerusalem
artichokes from the unyielding soil. They barter handicrafts and vegetables for
buckwheat and barley from nearby villages. "Man can live in any extreme
conditions," Vissarion pronounces, a permanent Mona Lisa smile playing on his
lips. "Of course it is hard, especially for intellectuals and those used to
working in the towns. But it is important for people to see themselves and to
see one another. That is easier when the toil is hard. There is salvation in
hardship."
On an adjacent peak, a large bell has been mounted by the believers. It tolls
across the valley three times a day. On hearing it, the faithful drop to their
knees to pray. The bell weighs 270kg. The followers carried it on foot for 50km
in torrential rain from the village where the metal was cast, and then hauled it
up to the summit. Vissarion himself is spared much of the physical toil. While
teams of young men dig irrigation trenches beside his chalet, he whiles away the
long days on the mountaintop painting oil canvases.
At the age of 18 Sergei Torop enlisted, starting his compulsory two-year stint
in the Red Army and finishing as a sergeant on construction sites in Mongolia
before working for three years as a metal worker in a factory in the Siberian
town of Minusinsk. From there, the self-proclaimed saviour embarked on a career
as a traffic policeman, also in Minusinsk, winning nine commendations during
five years' service. Job cuts in 1989 left him unemployed just as the Soviet
Union was descending into chaos. Millions of Russians were bewildered and
craving answers. The advent of the new era also coincided with Sergei's rebirth
as Vissarion.
Thousands of people, the majority of them educated professionals from cities in
European Russia, abandoned wives, husbands and children to flock to the Church
of the Last Testament, replicating the flight of the schismatics to Siberia from
European Russia 350 years ago to escape persecution by the Orthodox church. The
schismatics' descendants now share some of the same villages with the
Vissarionites, who have assimilated many elements of Orthodox ritual but whose
belief system also embraces an eclectic, some say incoherent, mish-mash of
Buddhist, Taoist and green values.
For centuries, the wide-open spaces of Siberia have drawn the sectarian, the
wacky and the nonconformist. The post-Soviet decade has revived that tradition,
bringing a boom in evangelism and new age cults. Of 140 religious organisations
registered in the republic of Khakassia, says Nikolai Volkov, the chief local
government official dealing with religious affairs, 28 are "new religious
movements", as new age sects are dubbed.
For the Church of the Last Testament, it is now year 42 of the new era, which
the believers date from Vissarion's birth in 1961. Christmas has been abolished
and replaced by a feast day on January 14, the Teacher's birthday. The biggest
holiday of the year falls on August 18, the anniversary of Vissarion's first
sermon in 1991, when the "saviour" descends from the mountain on horseback to
join thousands of revellers cavorting in the river running by the hamlet of
Petropavlovka.
To the east lies Sun City. It is here, at the foot of the mountain where their
saviour lives with his wife and six children (including a little girl adopted
from a single mother in the commune), that the hardcore faithful, the most
committed of the Vissarionites, congregate. On a patch of taiga peat bog that
they have cleared of birch and cedar, 41 families live in timber cabins and felt
yurts. The men sport ponytails and beards, the women long hair and long skirts.
Most of them are in their mid-30s. The giggling of children is all around. There
is a school and a kindergarten. The birth rate here is much higher than in the
average Russian village.
The mood is cheerfully apocalyptic. "Have you not heard?" laughs Igor as he
guides us through the swamp. "A comet is going to smash into the earth next
year." With his beard, birch stick, tunic and pointy Uzbek felt hat, the
48-year-old recovered alcoholic from St Petersburg looks like he has walked off
the set of Lord of the Rings.
If the looming comet imperils most of humanity, Sun City is Noah's Ark. Russia's
mission, in the best Orthodox tradition of "Third Rome" messianism, is to redeem
the rest of us. "This central part of Siberia is the part of the world that can
survive best," explains Vissarion. "And this is a society that can endure big
changes and be more receptive to a better understanding of the truth."
For now, though, the apocalypse can wait. There's work to do and word to spread.
In recent years Vissarion has been to New York, to Germany, the Netherlands,
France, and Italy seeking converts. For the first time he has just been
"invited" to Britain, where he hopes to preach "soon".
Such international jetsetting feeds suspicions that he is living at their
expense of his disciples. He insists that neither he nor his church has any
"regular income", that his foreign travels are "sponsored" by his hosts. His
chalet, powered by solar batteries and a small windmill, is modest, if more
comfortable than the homes of his followers. It is also more remote, a steep
hour's climb up a path from Sun City.
"I've been with him 10 years, I know him," says Vadim, a former drummer in a
Russian rock band and Vissarion's right-hand man. "He's the only person I know
who lives what he preaches. They say he's a liar and a cheat, taking the money.
They're only describing the way they behave themselves."
At 7am, the menfolk and a few women emerge from their cabins to stream towards
the "city" centre, marked by a mud circle ringed by stones, at the centre of
which stands a carved wooden angel, wings outstretched, and capped by the
Vissarionites' symbol - a cross inside a circle. This is a daily ritual. The
faithful kneel on short wooden planks, murmur prayers and sing hymns, led by a
man with a rich baritone. Then they join hands in a circle around the stones,
raise their heads to the mountain, from where they believe Vissarion is
watching, and sing paeans to "our tender father".
"Immortality is the unique quality of the human soul, but mankind has to learn
how to achieve it, how to live eternally," Vissarion says quietly before
shrouding his head in a white shawl and shuffling away.
"There's a place in the New Testament where Jesus says the time will come when I
will no longer speak in parables. That time has come: the time for people to see
the aim of life.
HOME
verses for story:
“And Jesus answered and said unto them, Take heed
that no man deceive you. For many shall come in my name, saying, ‘I am Christ;’
and shall deceive many.” (Mat 24: 4-5)
" For false Christs and false prophets will appear and
perform great signs and miracles to deceive even the elect-if that
were possible."Mathew 24:24
May 7, 2002
Plague of locusts hits
Afghanistan
A plague of locusts of "almost biblical proportions" is threatening Afghanistan,
a country wrecked by years of fighting, drought and food shortages, a senior
international aid official said on Monday.
By the hundreds of millions, the locusts are marching across areas of northern
Afghanistan, threatening up to 70 percent of crop production and millions of
livelihoods.
"It's a problem of almost biblical proportions," said Richard China, the United
Nations' Food and Agriculture Organization's program manager in Afghanistan.
"We estimate that it's the worst infestation in the last 30 years," he told
Reuters Television.
Locusts are endemic to the plains that lie north of the Hindu Kush mountains,
the traditional breadbasket of Afghanistan.
Normally the problem is kept under control by local farmers digging narrow
trenches around infested areas to trap young locusts, which cannot fly.
But this year, the problem has mushroomed to proportions not seen since the late
1970s.
"This is due to a combination of lack of control in recent years due to
political instability and the difficulty of getting into the areas (because of
security)," China said.
The international community's lack of interest in Afghanistan over the years has
starved the fight against locusts of precious resources, he added.
To fight the army of insects marching towards the crop growing areas, the FAO
and several nongovernmental organizations have deployed 1,300 hand-held sprayers
and five vehicles mounted with machines to spread pesticide.
"So far, we appear to be winning the battle," China said.
With the help of the FAO, local farmers are targeting the arid areas that lie
between the locusts and the farmlands.
In Baglan province north of Kabul, several thousand farmers dressed in orange
boiler suits were out in the fields spraying the ground, which appeared to
shimmer under a sea of locusts.
"It's incredible -- the ground looks as if it's moving, there's so many of
them," said one traveller who had just returned from the region.
China estimated that crops, mainly wheat, worth $60 million on local markets,
were at stake from the plague.
"This could affect the livelihoods of several million rural households," he
said.
verse of the story: "There
will be great earthquakes, famines and pestilences in various places, and great
signs from heaven". Luke 21:11
HOME
May
10, 2002
Giant Glacier Falls Into
Ocean Near Antarctica
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - A huge ice shelf 10 times bigger than Manhattan has
plummeted into the sea near Antarctica, U.S. government scientists said on
Thursday, adding urgency to warnings that global temperatures are rising for the
worse.
The news follows the March collapse of the so-called Larsen B ice shelf in
Antarctica in the Weddell Sea near Chile -- which was the size of a small
European country.
The collapse on the Ross ice shelf -- in the Ross Sea -- is about 41 nautical
miles long and 4 nautical miles wide.
It was spotted by the National Ice Center in Suitland, Maryland, which analyzed
infrared photos taken on May 5 by a military satellite. The collapse likely
occurred over the last two weeks, a spokesman for the center said.
The Ice Center gathers data for the U.S. Department of Defense, National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration and U.S. Coast Guard.
The collapse is a result of so-called calving, as constant motion by polar ice
caps fractures the ice into sometimes-large fragments that float loose into the
sea.
Green groups pointed to the ice shelf collapses as evidence that emissions of
greenhouse gases are causing global temperatures to rise and the polar ice caps
to melt.
For meteorological reasons, glaciers are one of the first indicators of rising
planetary temperatures, said Kalee Kreider, a global warming expert at the
National Environmental Trust.
"They're a canary in the coal mine for the global warming trend," Kreider said.
Carbon emissions from power plants and factories have been linked to global
warming, which scientists warn could lead to massive flooding and rising ocean
levels. The United States is the world's largest emitter of so-called greenhouse
gases.
Home
May
11, 2002
AL QAIDA TARGETS LEBANON AS NEW BASE
The Middle East Newsline reports:
“Al Qaida is believed to have designated Lebanon as its Middle East base of
operations, which could turn Israel into a direct target of Osama Bin Laden.A
report said an Al Qaida base in Lebanon would allow the Islamic movement to
combine forces with numerous Palestinian and other groups in the insurgency war
against Israel.‘This infrastructure would be invaluable for Al Qaida, allowing
its operatives to infiltrate, recruit new operatives, and build new sleeper
cells that would combine forces with the Islamic militant organizations already
operating in the Palestinian arena,’ the report by the International Policy
Institute for Counter-Terrorism said.The report, entitled ‘The Al
Qaida-Hizballah Connection,’ and authored by Yoni Fighel and Yael Shahar, said
an Al Qaida foothold in Lebanon would enable the movement to infiltrate Israel.
The report said the routes would be either directly from Lebanon or through
Jordan”.
HOME
J
July 9, 2002
APPLIED DIGITAL DEVICE LINKS PASSENGER, LUGGAGE
The Palm Beach Post reports: "Talk about having permanent baggage. Applied
Digital Solutions Inc. -- that's right, the folks who brought you the implantable VeriChip -- says it has devised a way for airport security to link a
person to their luggage through a permanent identification device.The company
says its new technology, called VeriPass and VeriTag, will help people get
through security checkpoints faster at airports and provide a foolproof way to
ensure that people are who they say they are."It can reduce long lines at the
airport and make check-ins more accurate," said Gary Gray, vice president of
wireless and software for VeriChip Corp., a subsidiary of Applied Digital.The
technology calls for a traveler's luggage to have a tag containing a radio
frequency identification device molded into it. When a scanner reads the tag, it
signifies that it belongs to the owner who has the VeriChip implant. The implant
would be voluntary, Gray said.The VeriChip, the size of a grain of rice, will
also contain information on the passenger and can be linked to flight manifest
logs, and airline or law-enforcement software databases.The technology will be
on display at the Airport Security Expo July 17-18 in Las Vegas…"
HOME
May 17, 2002
FRANCE AND BRITAIN DEMAND POWERFUL EU PRESIDENT
The EU Observer reports: "France and Britain joined forces on Wednesday to
demand the creation of a powerful new president of the European Council who
British Prime Minister, Tony Blair, believes will become the public face and
driving force of Europe. The goal is to give Europe a high-profile political
leader, who would also serve as the European Union’s face in international
affairs and take a key role in developing defense and foreign policies.They
believe the new president would give the European Union a sharper identity,
providing much-needed leadership and accountability.Spain is expected to add its
support to the idea. Winning the backing of Germany, however, is still a major
hurdle.The European commission, which is fighting to preserve its influence,
will contest the plans vigorously, since the move would be seen as weakening the
powers of the unelected Commission and its own president Romano Prodi.If
approved by member states, the post would be created in 2005 or 2006. The idea
of an appointed EU council president was introduced by Mr. Chirac in a speech in
Strasbourg on March 7 as part of his plan to bolster the idea of a Europe of
member states.Under the new proposals, the council president would be elected by
all European Union leaders for a five-year term to coincide with that of the
Commission president.The new system would replace the current six-month rotating
European Union presidency, which has been blamed for failing to give strong
leadership and political direction, which would become even more unsatisfactory
with the admission of up to 10 new countries to the European Union in 2004…"
HOME
Special
Report: - The Big Picture
Signs of the Times
Witnessing Tools
7/19/2002
Jack Kinsella The Bible says that the antichrist will eventually seize
single-handed control of a unified global economic system, global religious
system and global government.
(Actually, it would be more accurate to say he seized control of the global
superpower. Scripture also says the world is divided up into four regional
spheres of power, the Kings of the East, the King of the South, the Gog-Magog
Alliance and the Revived Roman Empire.)
The Bible also tells us a bit about how the antichrist pulls off his
single-handed global coup d`etat. Daniel tells us that by 'peace he will destroy
many' and that he starts the clock ticking for the 2520 day Tribulation Period
by inking a seven-year peace deal between Israel and the 'many'. (Dan 9:27)
The Bible says his control will be complete; that means he will also require the
support of the money trust. There is a global banker's cabal -- it isn't a myth.
What began as a European banking family enterprise grew, through strategic
intermarriage and unwavering dedication to the aims and principles of its
founder, in both power and influence until today, it is simply known as the
System. Whether it is the Federal Reserve System, or the Bank of England System
or a European-style Central Banking System, they all operate under the same
rules.
Christians usually divide themselves into two camps regarding the money trust.
Either they deny it exists, calling it 'conspiracy theory' -- or they scream for
its abolition.
There is a third point of view. It goes like this: It is a conspiracy, and not a
theory. It does have nefarious goals which include seizing control of the
world's wealth, right down to the house you live in and the car you drive to
work. In the US, you spend the first five months of each year - to Memorial Day,
roughly -- just to pay your taxes. That's called 'Tax Freedom" Day.
[In Canada, land of Socialized Medicine, Family Allowances and cradle-to-grave
income security, Tax Freedom Day falls on Labor Day]. That is the 'tribute' due
to the Masters of the Money Trust.
It exists, it’s the only system we have, replacing or tearing it down would
plunge the world into chaos, it is a necessary part of the overall prophetic
picture, so it must exist, get over it.
Still a Tall Order
The global economy is a reality, as is the money trust that controls it. The
four global spheres of political influence the Bible speaks of exist, although
they are still somewhat fluid.
The global religious system is slowing taking form -- the war on terror will
undoubtedly help to shape some kind of kinder, more tolerant and less
fundamental religious worldview. The Apostle John describes the false prophet as
having "two horns like a Lamb" (symbolic of Christ) but says he "spake as a
dragon" (symbolic of Satan).
Add them together and you get a kinder, gentler, more inclusive Christianity,
without all that 'fundamentalist nonsense' about salvation and Jesus being the
'only way' and so forth. (The kind of religion that could maybe even have a
voice at the UN?)
The global government (read western regional superpower) also remains somewhat
fluid at the moment. Although America is the current superpower, Europe is not
far behind, militarily, politically and economically. (The euro achieved parity
with the dollar recently for the first time).
America is locked in a war with religious fanatics and that means that anything
is possible. And Daniel says the path to global superstardom runs through
Jerusalem.
So, if we are living in the last days, then all three of these should dovetail
at Jerusalem.
Let's see.
America's War with al-Qaeda
What was it about again? Oh yeah. Islam, al-Aqsa Mosque, Jerusalem, US support
for Israeli oppression, yada, yada, etc.
The Global Government
The US is currently at loggerheads with the UN over the Rome Statute that
created the International Court that the US fears can be used to indict our
military leaders or possibly our political leaders for war crimes.
This means America's global reach may be curtailed to limit our potential
liability. We are already discussing withdrawal from a number of UN operations.
The United States is the only country that consistently votes with Israel at the
UN. Without our veto, Israel would have been legislated out of existence by the
UN Security Council decades ago.
The Senate voted eight years ago to move our embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem.
The administration has not yet done so because the UN regards Jerusalem as a
disputed city.
America's consistent support for Israel has marginalized our influence at the UN
and has so polarized the global body that most anti-Israel resolutions are
defeated by margins like 184-2 -- with the two votes being Israel and the US
veto.
Consequently, America's influence at the UN continues to decline, while Europe's
political stock keeps rising, both at the UN and among the Arab bloc.
The Global Economy
Investor confidence is slipping, due to a combination of stock fraud, the war on
terror with al-Qaeda and the crisis in the Middle East between Israel and her
enemies.
All roads to power in the last days run through Jerusalem.
How Does He Pull It All Together?
Now that we have established the existence and the interdependence of the three
predicted pillars of antichrist, how does he pull the wool over the eyes of the
whole world?
"And for this cause God shall send them strong delusion, that they should
believe a lie. . .” Paul explains in 2 Thessalonians 2:11.
Bush's One-Side Plan
In order for the entire world to believe a lie, one must first have a vehicle in
place to deliver that lie. Now we come to a subdivision of the global money
trust -- the media that it wholly owns and operates according to its own
philosophy.
It would take too long to prove it, but it can be proved by backtracking through
the maze of interlocking directorates.
I've done it. But explaining it would take a whole book -- and there are already
plenty of them on the market -- another isn't necessary.
Anyway, a short cut works equally well at dispelling doubt. Just listen to them.
We've discussed the fact that 'more Americans get their news from ABCNews than
from any other source' before. The White House won't deal with Arafat because
he's a terrorist. Everybody knows he's a terrorist.
Everybody except Peter Jennings
June 24 WorldNews Tonight: “We’re going to begin tonight with what the President
has decided should be done to make peace between Israelis and Palestinians. In
short, the President said today the Palestinians should get rid of their leader
Yasser Arafat; get a new political and economic system, a new constitution, a
new security service. And when the Palestinians have done that, the Bush
administration will support a provisional Palestinian state. If this sounds like
Mr. Bush has come down squarely on Israel’s side in the Israeli-Palestinian
struggle, that is how it looks in the Middle East and in Washington.”
According to Peter Jennings, Bush didn't decide Arafat was 'tainted by terror'
and refused to deal with him because we don't negotiate with terrorists.
Instead, he came down 'squarely on Israel's side'.
We are living in the last days. All the signs are in place. The war on terror,
the crisis in the Middle East, our widening political gap with Europe, the
teetering economy; all these various elements conspire together to shape the
coming global system, pounding and fluffing the way one would shape a pillow,
until it takes the precise shape necessary for what lies ahead.
What lies ahead is a two-fold event. The next major prophetic event on God's
calendar is, I believe, the Rapture of the Church in advance of the beginning of
the Seventieth Week of Daniel.
There are other sincere, honest Christians who believe the Rapture takes place
during or after the Tribulation Period. I have no quarrel with you; I simply
take a different view.
In any case, there is little doubt that time of Jacob's Trouble is soon to come
over the whole earth. The irrefutable evidence lies before you.
"Verily I say unto you, This generation shall not pass, till all these things be
fulfilled." Matthew 24:34
HOME
July 20, 2002
OFFICIALS
ALARMED BY WEST NILE VIRUS
CNN reports: "Health officials are keeping a close eye on
the incidence of West Nile virus in Louisiana after yet another 4 new cases were
confirmed this week, bringing the total number to 7 this year. The federal
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in Atlanta confirmed this week that a
34-year-old woman and 3 men, ages 17, 62 and 76, had the mosquito-borne virus.
Last week, state health officials reported that 3 people, ages 53, 62 and 78,
had the disease. Louisiana has not set any West Nile records yet, since the 1999
outbreak killed 7 people and sent 62 others to hospitals in New York -- but
Louisiana's epidemiologist, Dr. Raoult Ratard, is concerned now. 'In 2001, no
county in the United States had more than 3 cases,' Ratard said. 'We are getting
up into fairly concentrated numbers. And of course it's early in the season. So,
the news is not that good.'Mosquitoes spread West Nile from infected birds to
humans, who can then develop deadly encephalitis, or swelling of the brain.
Humans cannot pass the virus to each other. Symptoms are similar to the flu,
including fatigue and fever. There is no cure for the virus. The CDC urges
people to report dead birds to local health authorities and to protect
themselves against mosquito bites by getting rid of standing water, where
mosquitoes breed, and to wear insect repellent or long sleeves outdoors…"
HOME
July 20, 2002
Drought, abnormally dry weather hits 49 states
Click for Source Article
Abnormally dry or drought conditions affect all or part of 49 U.S. states and
could worsen over the Northeast, government scientists reported Friday.
The Weekly Drought Monitor, issued by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, predicted that a broad swath of the eastern United States --
from the Ohio Valley to Northern New England -- will see drought conditions
develop in the next few months.
Among the 50 states in this week's drought map, only Wisconsin is spared from
dry conditions. This week's map is based on information collected through July
16.
Roughly 36 percent of the country is covered by one of four drought categories,
which range from "moderate" to "exceptional," said Jay Lawrimore, a climate
scientist with the National Climatic Data Center.
A large area of "extreme" drought -- the second-worst category -- extends from
northern Montana to the Mexican border, and from western Nebraska to El Paso and
San Diego. A smaller area of "exceptional" drought -- the worst conditions
measured -- stretches southward from southern Wyoming to near the cities of
Phoenix and Albuquerque.
Lawrimore said it is unusual to see drought over such a wide area, with some of
the year's driest times still ahead. And he said it was "very unusual" to see
all but one state touched by either full-fledged drought or abnormally dry
weather.
The drought is also blamed for one of the worst wildfire years on record. Much
of the West has been declared an agricultural disaster area by the U.S.
Department of Agriculture, making farmers and ranchers in the stricken areas
eligible for federal assistance. Many states and communities in the drought
region have limited residential use of water.
Many of those same restrictions are in effect in the Southeast, where an area of
"extreme" and "exceptional" drought stretches from central Georgia to just north
of Richmond, Virginia.
Leon Bowler looks out at the 390-acre Upper Enterprise Reservoir that's been
reduced to a puddle outside Enterprise, Utah.
A small area of the lower Rio Grande Valley is also in "extreme" drought -- but
much of the rest of Texas has made an abrupt exit from the drought zone,
swapping its dry weather for another problem: torrential rains and flooding.
The bad news will get worse, NOAA predicted. The Ohio River Valley and much of
Upstate New York can expect drought conditions to develop, with several dry
months on the horizon.
Hard-hit areas can expect little relief.
"No matter how you look at it, water shortages can be expected through October
2002 in most areas that are now experiencing drought," said Doug LeComte, of
NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. LeComte said that much of the Rocky Mountains
drought area has endured its driest January-to-June in recorded history.
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Arming China Makes U.S. Nervous
By Lyuba Pronina
Moscow Times, Aug. 22, 2002
Officially, Prime Minister Mikhail Kasyanov's
three-day visit to China, which began Wednesday, is about trade -- namely,
energy, aviation, transportation, electronics, banking and
telecommunications.
But the item not on the public agenda is the one
worrying Washington and Taipei the most: arms.
Since U.S. President George W. Bush came to power
last year, the U.S. defense establishment has taken an increasingly
alarmist approach to China's burgeoning defense procurement program, in
which Russia, as its main supplier, is playing the leading role.
Washington's growing concern over Beijing's buildup -- and Russia's role
in it -- is clearly spelled out in two recent reports, one from the
Pentagon and the other sponsored by Congress.
"Despite overwhelming U.S. military and
technological superiority, China can still defeat the United States by
transforming its weakness into strength and exploiting U.S.
vulnerabilities through asymmetric warfare ... deception, surprise and
preemptive strikes," concluded the U.S.-China Security Review Commission,
which is funded by Congress.
In the addendum to the report, one of the
authors, Arthur Waldron, went even further, saying China's buildup is
aimed at excluding the United States from Asia and establishing the
ability to threaten and coerce neighboring states, ranging from Mongolia
to Japan to India.
"With respect to China's proliferation behavior,
we have all the evidence we need: China is a major source of advanced
weapons to terrorist-sponsoring and other dangerous states. ... Far more
work is required, both from the commission and the government on China's
role (or lack of it) in international terrorism," Waldron wrote.
"Beijing's close connections to
terrorist-sponsoring states provide ample reason for concern. ... Foreign
companies helping China's military and security apparatus should be denied
any participation in U.S. government procurement or development programs."
The main foreign company helping China's military
and security apparatus is Rosoboronexport, which dismisses Washington's
concerns.
"I think that Russia is not doing anything
illegal by [selling arms to China]," Rosoboronexport chief Andrei
Belyaninov said Wednesday. "We are acting within the framework of
international law."
Part of the problem, U.S. officials admit, is
that they do not have a precise picture of China's military program.
Defense Minister Sergei Ivanov reportedly signed a protocol with China
during his visit there earlier this summer under which all arms deals
between the two nations are classified as secret.
Earlier this year, Beijing announced that it
would boost its defense spending in 2002 to $20 billion. However, the
Pentagon believes that China's actual spending could be as high as $80
billion, which would give it the second largest military budget in the
world after the United States.
"Chinese secrecy is extensive. China reveals
little in its Defense White Paper about the quantity or quality of its
military forces," the Pentagon said in its report, which was commissioned
to address the gaps in knowledge about China's military power, its
relations with the former Soviet Union, and security in the Taiwan Strait.
The most immediate issue is Taiwan, which China
has vowed to bring back under its control since 1949, when 2 million
nationalists fled to the island after the communists conquered the
mainland.
However, the biggest obstacle to retaking Taiwan
by force is the United States military, which China is actively seeking to
redress.
The Pentagon report said China's modernization
program is primarily in preparation for a potential conflict in the Taiwan
Strait and is heavily reliant upon Russia.
This year alone, China has ordered two new
Project 956EM Sovremenny destroyers for $1.4 billion, eight Kilo
submarines for $1.5 billion and S-300F naval air defense systems for $200
million, according to media reports. Also on the table are some 30
Su-30MK2 fighters equipped with X-31A anti-ship missiles.
And just this week, Russia delivered the first 10
of 40 Sukhoi Su-30MKK fighters that China ordered last summer and offered
China a license to assemble military helicopters, news agencies said.
The report commissioned by Congress said the
acquisition of Su-27s in the 1990s and the purchase of the more modern
Su-30MKKs represent a quantum leap for China's air force: "The extended
range of the Su-30MKKs would allow [China's] air force to circumnavigate
Taiwan and strike lesser-defended facilities on the eastern side of the
island. The Su-30MKKs can carry the X-31 supersonic anti-ship missile and
pose a greater threat to U.S. vessels."
"What the Chinese military is driving toward is
to have a credible deterrent ... to make the U.S. think twice about
intervening on Taiwan's behalf," Ilan Berman, vice president for policy at
the American Foreign Policy Council think tank in Washington, said by
telephone.
"If there is a conflict over Taiwan, both
Taiwanese and U.S. forces will be fighting against Russian weapons," said
Richard Fisher, a China military expert with the Jamestown Foundation, a
conservative think tank with close ties to the Bush administration.
"Russia's arms sales to China amount to gasoline on smoking embers. This
is simply unacceptable," he said.
"While the Clinton administration chose not to
make a public issue of Russian military sales to China, there are some in
the Bush administration, especially in the Pentagon, who now want to
engage Moscow on the larger costs to Russian security and Asian stability
of its military sales to China. This marks the beginning of a real change
in U.S. policy," Fisher said.
Like Rosoboronexport, Konstantin Makiyenko,
deputy head of the Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies in
Moscow, dismisses the idea that Russian weapon sales to China are a
serious threat to the United States.
"The Chinese cannot threaten Taiwan, yet. ... The
only thing [China] can do is pepper Taiwan's economic facilities with
missiles," said Makiyenko, who has just completed a report for the U.S.
Center for Defense Information on Chinese-Russian military-technical
cooperation over the last decade.
"The United States has a problem: It is so far
away from everyone else that if it doesn't create a virtual threat the
army will be demoralized," Makiyenko said.
Virtual or not, the Chinese threat is perceived
as very real in the Pentagon and Congressional reports.
"It's very significant that both reports focus on
the Russian aspect, because it indicates growing attention on the part of
the Bush administration as to where exactly the Chinese are getting the
fuel to feed their military fire," said Berman of the American Foreign
Policy Council.
The Pentagon said in its report that despite
closer ties between the United States and Russia since the Sept. 11
terrorist attacks, Moscow cannot be persuaded to scale down its arms
transfers to Beijing.
"It will take something as catastrophic as a
Chinese attack on Russian territory before Russia's leaders wake up to the
dangers they are creating," Jamestown's Fisher said.
Makiyenko said the government is fully aware of
the dangers. "The Defense Ministry is watching closely what the Chinese
want to buy and so far have blocked the sale of, for example, MiG-31
long-range interceptors, which China can use to attack us up to the
Urals."
But for the United States to convince Russia to
curb arms sales to China, "it would have to offer a colossal package of
economic incentives, and that is unlikely," Makiyenko said.
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